LIVONIA, Mich. — Connie from Livonia was on the line with
Representative Thaddeus McCotter during a telephone town-hall-style
meeting, sounding worried as the auto industry continued to spiral
down, taking Michigan’s economy along for the ride.
Fabrizio Costantini for The New York Times
“It won’t work,” Representative Thaddeus McCotter, Republican of
Michigan, told a constituent about the economic stimulus package. “If I
thought it would work, I would have voted for it.”
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Her husband was laid off from
American Axle and Manufacturing, one of the many suppliers cutting back
because of the rapidly shrinking demand for parts. Her sons who had
served in the military could not find work and were ineligible for
veterans health care. Since Mr. McCotter had opposed the
economic stimulus program, just what was his plan, she asked, to deal
with the increasingly dire situation that she and thousands of other
McCotter constituents find themselves in? Mr. McCotter, a junior
member of the House Republican leadership, ticked off some alternatives
offered by Republicans and stuck to his position that the $787 billion stimulus package presented an unacceptable trade of minimal near-term benefits for future fiscal disaster. “It
won’t work,” said Mr. McCotter, 43, who worked his way up from local
elected office. “If I thought it would work, I would have voted for it.” Now
Mr. McCotter — whose suburban district west of Detroit is laced with
unemployed autoworkers, shuttered automotive plants and struggling
manufacturers — could become a test case of whether House Republicans’
united front against the economic measure was the wise political and
policy course. Democrats are mounting a new campaign to remind
voters that Mr. McCotter and 11 other Republicans in competitive
districts in harder-hit states opposed the stimulus package, which the
president says will provide middle class tax cuts and millions of jobs
— 7,800 in Mr. McCotter’s district alone, according to a calculation by
the White House. “Did you know Congressman Thad McCotter voted against President Obama’s
economic recovery plan, endorsed by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce?” says
the script of an automated telephone call that the Democratic
Congressional Campaign Committee plans to direct to homes in his
district this week. The message will encourage voters to call Mr.
McCotter and “ask why he voted to raise taxes on middle-class families.” In
an interview, Mr. McCotter said his constituents understood that the
legislation, which increased unemployment benefits and subsidized
health insurance for laid-off workers, could not fix the state’s
structural economic problems. He said they joined him in suspecting
that significant amounts of the money would be wasted. “The
people who really like the stimulus are the elected officials who will
handle the money,” said Mr. McCotter, an intense man and an amateur
guitar player who has displayed photographs of the Beatles and the Rolling Stones in his local offices. During
the telephone session with constituents last Thursday, some callers
praised Mr. McCotter’s stance and encouraged him to keep up his fight.
Many seemed much more anxious about whether the federal government
would come through with more relief for the Big Three auto
manufacturers — aid that Mr. McCotter fervently supports. Republicans
were emboldened in their opposition to the stimulus plan by their
ability to successfully lampoon some provisions as frivolous and
ineffective, drawing extensive news coverage and plaudits from
conservative commentators. But recent independent polls have
shown wide public support for the measure and disapproval of the
Republican approach. Some Republicans have begun to emphasize benefits
in the bill for their communities even though they voted against it. In
Michigan, Democratic officials say the Republican opposition is
difficult to fathom given the deteriorating economic conditions in the
state and the $18 billion Michigan stands to receive. The legislation
also frees General Motors from billions of dollars in potential tax
obligations on a federal loan and provides tax incentives for car
buyers, though they are not as extensive as those initially approved by
the Senate. “Since when do Republicans vote against tax cuts?”
asked State Representative Andy Dillon, the speaker of the State House,
whose district overlaps with Mr. McCotter’s. “They are betting the
farm, because if this works, I think people will remember they were not
on board.” Joan Gebhardt, a Wayne County commissioner who
represents localities in Mr. McCotter’s district, said her communities
“need help fast; people are hurting.” But sentiment is clearly
mixed on the value of the stimulus plan, even though local
manufacturers are paring their work forces, cutting back shifts for
those who stay and reducing the salaries of managers and executives.
Many say it is the worst economic environment they can remember in
Michigan, but the stimulus is not seen as a lifeline for state
manufacturers and businesses. “There is nothing in there for us
in Michigan in automotive,” said Wallace E. Smith, president of the E
& E Manufacturing Company, a stamping plant in Plymouth that
produces seat fasteners and engine mounts. “We need something
immediate.” As chairman of the Republican Policy Committee, Mr.
McCotter is a member of the party leadership, but he has broken ranks
on some pivotal issues. He supported an expansion of a federally
financed health insurance program for children. And he backs a measure
to ease union organizing — legislation that is fiercely opposed by most
Republicans. All House Republicans from Michigan have to be on
political alert since two incumbents lost their seats in November. Mr.
McCotter saw his own margin of victory shrink noticeably despite being
opposed by a weakly financed Democratic challenger. Bill
Ballenger, the editor of Inside Michigan Politics, says Mr. McCotter is
the most likely new target for Democrats among House members in the
state. But Mr. Ballenger is skeptical that Mr. McCotter’s vote against
the stimulus will be much of a political liability, particularly if the
economy does not improve. “They may look like heroes a year from now,”
he said. Democrats evidently believe otherwise, given their new
assault against Mr. McCotter and the 11 House members from eight other
states, including California, Illinois, Missouri and Pennsylvania.
Besides the automated phone calls, the Democratic Party on Tuesday will begin sending e-mail and text messages to voters and initiating personal phone calls to lay out the case for the stimulus package. Mr.
McCotter said he made no political calculation in deciding how to vote
but based his stance on what he thought was the right way to go. “How
can you vote for something in this situation that will do more harm
than good?” he asked. Yet Mr. McCotter said he would now try to see that the money is properly spent. “We
will try to do everything we can to squeeze every ounce of help out of
what was passed,” he said. “We have to make the best of a bad
situation.”
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